Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.153522 0.183018 0.216186 0.256178 0.303021 0.356078 0.420658
2025-04-27 0.119180 0.159702 0.210337 0.277947 0.365520 0.474739 0.620866
2025-05-04 0.096551 0.141266 0.201714 0.288740 0.410033 0.572173 0.804236
2025-05-11 0.077436 0.122067 0.186537 0.285379 0.431755 0.638879 0.952044
2025-05-18 0.061799 0.104166 0.169102 0.274369 0.438803 0.683328 1.071064
2025-05-25 0.049510 0.088784 0.152350 0.260783 0.438562 0.715026 1.172497
2025-06-01 0.043406 0.082232 0.148171 0.265796 0.466955 0.792141 1.350381
2025-06-08 0.036167 0.072324 0.136693 0.256630 0.470297 0.828843 1.466426
2025-06-15 0.032455 0.068128 0.134368 0.262665 0.499633 0.910557 1.664192
2025-06-22 0.028804 0.063375 0.130234 0.264640 0.521614 0.981377 1.849619
2025-06-29 0.025084 0.057813 0.123689 0.261027 0.532583 1.033371 2.006181
2025-07-06 0.021937 0.052884 0.117622 0.257386 0.542761 1.084421 2.165195
2025-07-13 0.020110 0.050694 0.117161 0.265690 0.578671 1.189693 2.441089
2025-07-20 0.019591 0.051437 0.123093 0.288283 0.646398 1.363425 2.866592
2025-07-27 0.018210 0.049872 0.123706 0.299456 0.691694 1.497525 3.227394
2025-08-03 0.016012 0.045852 0.118109 0.295979 0.705178 1.568687 3.468535
2025-08-10 0.013657 0.040945 0.109625 0.284586 0.699692 1.599748 3.629765
2025-08-17 0.011512 0.036149 0.100605 0.270526 0.686227 1.612117 3.752210
2025-08-24 0.010591 0.034598 0.099518 0.275714 0.718088 1.725953 4.103993
2025-08-31 0.009138 0.031185 0.093009 0.266228 0.713598 1.758229 4.278634
2025-09-07 0.008494 0.030095 0.092582 0.272473 0.748367 1.882984 4.672558
2025-09-14 0.007759 0.028566 0.090688 0.274517 0.772767 1.985861 5.025366
2025-09-21 0.006915 0.026492 0.086892 0.270778 0.781784 2.053004 5.300463